Friday, November 30, 2007

Weekend Picks

I screwed up the picks table last night. Pat had the Cowboys, while Marc Anthony had the Packers. Actual quote from the 'Stache: "I actually won a bet last week, then I let it ride on the late games and I lost it. I'm trying to chase. I can either
stop now or try and get back to even. Ugh, f'ing gambling."

The Stache Says:

Home team in caps

Atlanta (+4) over ST. LOUIS

What a QB matchup. Joey Harrington vs. Gus Frerotte. Ol’ Gus showed he could still blow a game, fumbling on 4th down from the Seahawks 1-yard line going in for the winning touchdown. Falcons stink. Rams stink. So I’m taking the points.

WASHINGTON (-6) over Buffalo

No one knows how the Redskins are going to play in this game. They may play their best game of the year to honor their fallen teammate, or they may lay an egg because this week has just been too much for them. I tend to lean towards the former. I think they’re going to be playing on a big-time emotional high. It would be a great moment for them to come out and just dominate the game in honor of Sean Taylor.

Detroit (+3.5) over MINNESOTA

Big game for both these teams. If the Lions can win they can create some separation between themselves and the Vikings by taking a two game lead and holding the tie-breaker advantage over Minnesota for a wild card spot. If the Vikes can pull it out, they become a legitimate wild card contender, which I guess speaks to the quality of play in the NFC. These teams are heading in the opposite direction, so naturally I’m going to take the one on the downswing.

TENNESSEE (-3.5) over Houston

I made this pick strictly off Albert Haynesworth. He is scheduled to practice tomorrow, so I’m thinking he plays. With him the Titans are a different team. If he plays, I like them to stop their three-game skid.

INDIANAPOLIS (-6.5) over Jacksonville

This is a game I hope I’m wrong on. If we want any chance at a #2 seed, Indy needs to lose, and this game is as good as any. But the Colts will be coming off 10 days of rest, which should help their battered football team. Add in the fact that the line is 6.5, which is huge because of the touchdown factor, and I’m going Indy.

New York Jets (+1.5) over MIAMI

An 0-11 team that is the favorite. Doesn’t happen often. John Beck is still getting his feet wet, and the Dolphins don’t have any running backs, thanks in part to Lawrence Timmons. He put a nice cleat into Ricky Williams, didn’t he? Anyways, maybe I’m more enamored with the Jets than I should be just because I saw them beat us, but whatever.

KANSAS CITY (+5.5) over San Diego

If I can get the Chiefs at home in Arrowhead, as an underdog, against a Norv Turner led team, you damn well better believe I’m going to take the Chiefs.

Seattle (+3) over PHILADELPHIA

The Eagles almost pulled off the impossible last week, so I sense a little bit of a let down this week for them. Seattle is no slouch, even though they did struggle with the Rams last week.

CAROLINA (-3) over San Francisco

I mean, can you really feel comfortable betting this game? You can either take David Carr and the Panthers offense and give three points, or you can take Trent Dilfer and the even worse 49ers offense and get three points. The Panthers are 0-5 at home this year. They have to win a home game at some point. Panthers it is.

NEW ORLEANS (-3.5) over Tampa Bay

Doesn’t look like Jeff Garcia is going to start. Local boy Bruce Gradkowski may not get the nod either, as Gruden is contemplating going with Luke McCown. The Saints always look like a great bet, but you never know what you’re going to get with them. Buyer beware here.

ARIZONA (-1) over Cleveland

Sure, the Browns offense has played better as of late. The Cardinals have an explosive offense, though. This is the Browns, people. They’ll fuck it up. Just watch. It starts this week.

OAKLAND (+3.5) over Denver

Just an absolutely brutal loss for the Broncos last week. It was fun watching another gambler other than myself suffer. My older brother had cash on the Broncos at +1 over the Bears. So he was rightfully pissed when the Broncos kicked not once, BUT TWICE to Devin Hester. Nice move, Shanahan. But it got better, because you should have seen the look on his face as he watched Rex Grossman lead the Bears to two touchdowns and the game winning field goal to win the game. You know it’s a bad gambling loss when Rex Grossman fucks you over.

CHICAGO (+2) over New York Giants

And I’m going to ride the Rex Grossman momentum train. Besides, you all saw how Eli Manning played last week. The Bears have had their share of struggles on defense, but do you really trust Eli going up against the Chicago defense in Soldier Field. Plus, the Bears have that Hester fella. I hear he’s kinda good.

PITTSBURGH (-7) over Cincinnati

I already talked about this game a little bit in the Stache Report, so in lieu of that I’m going to show you some quotes from Anthony Smith:

On Chad Johnson: “Oh, yeah, his confidence is back up there. But it’ll get right back down to reality once he gets hit a couple times.”

On the Bengals wideouts facing the Steelers secondary: “They’ll be looking out for us when they come across the middle. It’ll pretty much stop most of their completions”

On whether Chad Johnson should wear a mouthpiece, since Smith knocked it out in the last game: “If he don’t, I’m going to try to do the same thing I did last time.”

On TJ Houshmandzadeh: “See, that’s his problem, working the middle of the field. That’s where I’m at. That’s my domain.”

On Houshmandzadeh wiping his shoes with the Terrible Towel a couple years ago:
“He might want to do that again, but he won’t have a chance to as long as I’m playing. If anybody comes across the middle, if they don’t duck, I’m going to make something happen.”

This man is brilliant.

New England (-20.5) over BALTIMORE

Tom Brady vs. Kyle Boller. Need I explain more?

End of Post

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